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Positive vs negative gamma

What positive and negative gamma mean for price, and how to read the regime badge.

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The regime tells you which kind of market you are trading in right now.

Above the gamma flip: positive gamma#

Dealer hedging trades against the move. Expect mean reversion, smaller ranges, pins, and walls that hold more often. Fading moves into the walls tends to work.

Below the gamma flip: negative gamma#

Dealer hedging trades with the move. Expect trend days, faster expansion and walls that break more easily. Fading is riskier; trade the breakout.

A real example#

NQ Candles widget on Oct 16, 2026: walls breaking in negative gamma
NQ, Oct 16, 2026 (Replay). In STRONG NEGATIVE gamma the 29,910 put wall broke at about 9:55 ET and the wall kept moving lower with price. Walk-through in the Candles widget guide.

The regime badge#

The badge combines the side (POSITIVE or NEGATIVE) with how one-sided the book is:

StrengthMeaning
STRONGThe book is lopsided. Levels should act decisively.
MODERATEA normal reading.
BALANCEDCalls and puts roughly offset. Pins are soft: halve size and wait for confirmation.

When the flip and HVL disagree#

The flip follows the day-trade expiry and the HVL follows the whole book. When price sits between them, the two readings disagree, and that zone tends to be choppy and low-conviction.

Questions#

What is negative gamma?#

A market state where options dealers are short gamma, so their hedging buys strength and sells weakness. Moves tend to extend and ranges widen.

What is positive gamma?#

A market state where dealers are long gamma, so their hedging sells strength and buys weakness. Moves tend to stall and price mean-reverts.